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Problem 415
claims/: The 2 claim pages of Problem 415, one per claimant's result; the problem's standing derives from them.
Statement. For any let be the largest such that any of the possible ordering patterns appears in some sequence of with . Is it true that
for some constant ? Is the first pattern which fails to appear always
Is it true that the 'natural' ordering which mimics what happens to is the most likely to appear?
Formulation. The constant in the first question is read as positive, as Erdős and Graham read it: on p. 82 of [ErGr80] they assert that all permutations occur for but not for , and the site reads the question the same way when it answers it in the negative. If were allowed, the literal answer would be yes, vacuously, since . An ordering pattern of length is one of the strict orderings of distinct values, which the count in the statement presupposes; the site records that [ErGr80] does not say whether equality is allowed, and that the third question only makes sense when it is. That question concerns the order type of , which has ties (), so it is read with weak orderings, and "most likely" is read as the largest asymptotic density, following the remark on the same page of [ErGr80] that every permutation has a density.
Status. The site labels the problem OPEN (page last edited 28 May 2026). Its commentary records that the asymptotic of Pollack, Pomerance and Treviño [PPT13] for monotone runs answers the first question in the negative, the accepted partial claim on the Pollack–Pomerance–Treviño page, and that Chojecki and GPT-5.4 sketched the same asymptotic for an arbitrary strict pattern. Chojecki's manuscripts of April and July 2026, the July one answering all three questions no, are the pending full claim on the Chojecki page; the frontmatter standing follows from it.
Source. erdosproblems.com/415, accessed 2026-09-04. Cite as: T. F. Bloom, Erdős Problem #415, https://www.erdosproblems.com/415.
References.
- [Er36b] Erdős, P., On a problem of Chowla and some related problems. Proc. Cambridge Philos. Soc. (1936), 530-540.
- [ErGr80] Erdős, P. and Graham, R., Old and new problems and results in combinatorial number theory. Monographies de L'Enseignement Mathematique (1980).
- [PPT13] Pollack, Paul and Pomerance, Carl and Treviño, Enrique, Sets of monotonicity for Euler's totient function. Ramanujan J. (2013), 379-398.
Formalization. None recorded.
Current assessment
The question (site formulation, 2026-09-04). Whether , the largest such that every one of the ordering patterns occurs among consecutive totient values below , is for a constant , read as ; whether the decreasing pattern is always the first to fail; and whether the natural ordering of is the most likely, read with ties and as the largest density (Formulation). The site labels the problem OPEN (page last edited 28 May 2026).
The first question. Theorem 1.5 of [PPT13] gives the longest monotone
run of consecutive totients below the length
, so and the answer is no for
every : the accepted partial claim on
the Pollack–Pomerance–Treviño page,
refereed in the Ramanujan Journal. The site's credit is commentary on a
problem it labels OPEN, so it is not reviewed evidence.
The pending full claim. Chojecki's manuscript of 13 July 2026, posted on
the discussion thread as the full solution after a circulation draft of 18
April 2026, claims all three answers no for strict patterns: the exact
asymptotic for the
strict threshold, the counterexample with the
decreasing pattern of length four present below and nine of the
twenty-four patterns absent, and density for the tied natural ordering
of length two against for each strict ordering. Both notes were
written with OpenAI models, named on
the Chojecki page.
The manuscripts are unrefereed and the site's commentary credits only the
April sketch, so the claim is claimed; the derived standing is claimed,
disproved.
Search scope (2026-10-07). The site's page, its discussion thread and its proof-claims tab (empty), the two manuscripts linked from the thread, the author manuscript of [PPT13], and p. 82 of [ErGr80]; no other literature search was made, and no proof was independently assessed.
Known Results
Theorem 1.5 of [PPT13], recorded as a statement on its primes card, gives the longest run of consecutive integers in on which is nonincreasing the length ; since requires the strictly decreasing pattern of length to occur, , a negative answer to the first question for every (see Formulation), which the site page (last edited 28 May 2026) records. The bound , which [ErGr80] attributes to [Er36b], does not appear there: the site's commentary records that [Er36b] shows only that and each hold for of the , and its lower half is false by [PPT13].
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